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National Weather ServiceSevere Thunderstorm WatchVTEC SV.AArchive to October 1, 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Watch: what it means and how often it is issued

The National Weather Service issued 448 severe thunderstorm watches in 2025 and 445 a year on average in 2008-2025; Texas, Kansas and Oklahoma got the most in 2021-2025. 2026 through September: 515, 20% above the average of 429 for those months in 2008-2025.

What is a severe thunderstorm watch?

Severe thunderstorm watches come from the NWS Storm Prediction Center when storms with large hail or damaging winds are possible over a large area for several hours. A watch means the conditions for the hazard are possible or favourable, but it is not yet happening: be ready to act if a warning follows.

Warning, watch or advisory: the three levels compared

Source: National Weather Service directives and glossary.

How many severe thunderstorm watches a year?

448 severe thunderstorm watches in 2025
2004006002008: 55020082009: 53020092010: 48820102011: 57520112012: 50320122013: 42220132014: 38220142015: 36420152016: 38920162017: 34820172018: 31620182019: 49920192020: 37020202021: 39520212022: 41520222023: 54320232024: 47620242025: 44820252026: 51520262008-2025 average 4452026 through September: 5152004006002008: 55020082009: 5302010: 48820102011: 5752012: 50320122013: 4222014: 38220142015: 3642016: 38920162017: 3482018: 31620182019: 4992020: 37020202021: 3952022: 41520222023: 5432024: 47620242025: 4482026: 51520262008-2025 average 4452026 through September: 5152004006002008: 55020082009: 5302010: 48820102011: 5752012: 50320122013: 4222014: 38220142015: 3642016: 38920162017: 3482018: 31620182019: 4992020: 37020202021: 3952022: 41520222023: 5432024: 47620242025: 4482026: 51520262008-2025 average 4452026 through September: 5152004006002008: 55020082009: 5302010: 4882011: 5752012: 5032013: 4222014: 3822015: 36420152016: 3892017: 3482018: 3162019: 4992020: 37020202021: 3952022: 4152023: 5432024: 4762025: 4482026: 51520262008-2025 average 4452026 through September: 515

National count: each severe thunderstorm watch counted once, whatever the number of states it covers. 2026 is an outline: the year is not over.

The numbers
YearCount
2026 (through September)515
2025448
2024476
2023543
2022415
2021395
2020370
2019499
2018316
2017348
2016389
2015364
2014382
2013422
2012503
2011575
2010488
2009530
2008550

Source: Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories (VTEC); National Weather Service. Data as of October 1, 2026.

When in the year?

Severe Thunderstorm Watches by month, 2008-2025
1k2k3kJan: 46JanFeb: 106FebMar: 387MarApr: 804AprMay: 1,479MayJun: 2,075JunJul: 1,547JulAug: 931AugSep: 348SepOct: 171OctNov: 65NovDec: 54Dec2,0751k2k3kJan: 46JanFeb: 106FebMar: 387MarApr: 804AprMay: 1,479MayJun: 2,075JunJul: 1,547JulAug: 931AugSep: 348SepOct: 171OctNov: 65NovDec: 54Dec2,0751k2k3kJan: 46JanFeb: 106FebMar: 387MarApr: 804AprMay: 1,479MayJun: 2,075JunJul: 1,547JulAug: 931AugSep: 348SepOct: 171OctNov: 65NovDec: 54Dec2,0751k2k3kJan: 46JFeb: 106FMar: 387MApr: 804AMay: 1,479MJun: 2,075JJul: 1,547JAug: 931ASep: 348SOct: 171ONov: 65NDec: 54D2,075

Sum of 2008-2025; the busiest month is labelled.

Source: Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories (VTEC); National Weather Service. Data as of October 1, 2026.

Which states get the most severe thunderstorm watches?

Texas gets the most: 102 a year in 2021-2025
TexasTexas: 102102KansasKansas: 7171OklahomaOklahoma: 6464NebraskaNebraska: 6363MissouriMissouri: 4343South DakotaSouth Dakota: 4040IowaIowa: 3939ArkansasArkansas: 3737PennsylvaniaPennsylvania: 3535IllinoisIllinois: 3434TexasTexas: 102102KansasKansas: 7171OklahomaOklahoma: 6464NebraskaNebraska: 6363MissouriMissouri: 4343South DakotaSouth Dakota: 4040IowaIowa: 3939ArkansasArkansas: 3737PennsylvaniaPennsylvania: 3535IllinoisIllinois: 3434TexasTexas: 102102KansasKansas: 7171OklahomaOklahoma: 6464NebraskaNebraska: 6363MissouriMissouri: 4343South DakotaSouth Dakota: 4040IowaIowa: 3939ArkansasArkansas: 3737PennsylvaniaPennsylvania: 3535IllinoisIllinois: 3434TexasTexas: 102102KansasKansas: 7171OklahomaOklahoma: 6464NebraskaNebraska: 6363MissouriMissouri: 4343South DakotaSouth Dakota: 4040IowaIowa: 3939ArkansasArkansas: 3737PennsylvaniaPennsylvania: 3535IllinoisIllinois: 3434

Yearly average per state, 2021-2025. A severe thunderstorm watch covering two states counts in both.

StateA year, 2021-2025A year, 2008-20252025
Texas10285114
Kansas717164
Oklahoma646171
Nebraska636067
Missouri435530
South Dakota404348
Iowa394140
Arkansas373742
Pennsylvania353333
Illinois344121
Minnesota323533
Colorado322840
Virginia282929
Indiana273418
Louisiana251922
Mississippi252225
Ohio242824
West Virginia242625
Wisconsin232519
Alabama231821
Kentucky222824
New York222115
North Dakota222525
Maryland212218
New Mexico211623
Tennessee202322
Wyoming202031
North Carolina192223
Georgia192022
New Jersey181615
Montana171918
Michigan151612
District of Columbia131210
Delaware121112
Florida12107
South Carolina121415
Connecticut11117
Massachusetts10106
Vermont886
New Hampshire777
Maine566
Rhode Island444
Idaho232
Arizona221
Utah221
Hawaii123
Oregon111
Washington111
California011
Nevada010

Source: Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories (VTEC); National Weather Service. Data as of October 1, 2026.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch or severe thunderstorm warning?

A severe thunderstorm watch (from the Storm Prediction Center, for a large area over several hours) means the conditions are possible: be ready; a severe thunderstorm warning (from the local NWS office, for the area at risk) means the hazard is happening or imminent: act now. A severe thunderstorm warning means a storm is producing, or is about to produce, hail one inch across or larger and/or winds of 58 mph or more. A warning means the hazard is happening, about to happen, or very likely: act now to protect people and property. The NWS issued 23,433 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2025, against 448 severe thunderstorm watches. The severe thunderstorm warning record.