Tropical Low 28U May Reach Cyclone Strength Northwest of Western Australia

Alert Details

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has issued a Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map for Tropical Low 28U. This alert was issued at 8:56 am AWST on Wednesday, March 4, 2026, as the system moves through the waters northwest of the Australian mainland.

Affected Areas

At this time, there are no active warning or watch zones for land-based communities. The system is currently located approximately 405 kilometres east-southeast of Christmas Island. Forecasters indicate that Tropical Low 28U is not expected to impact Christmas Island or the Western Australia mainland.

What You Should Do

While no land-based threats are currently active, mariners in the region are advised to read coastal waters and high seas warnings. Residents in the region should continue to monitor official updates from the Bureau of Meteorology as the system’s track and intensity are subject to change.

Expected Conditions

As of 8:00 am AWST, Tropical Low 28U has sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts reaching up to 95 kilometres per hour. The system is moving east-northeast at 9 kilometres per hour. Gale force winds are expected to persist to the north of the system until later Thursday. The system may reach Category 1 cyclone strength for a period overnight Wednesday and into Thursday morning.

Timeline

• Wednesday, March 4, 8:00 am AWST: System located at 11.7°S, 109.2°E.
• Overnight Wednesday to Thursday Morning: Potential development into a tropical cyclone.
• Late Thursday into Friday: Rapid weakening is expected as the system moves into an unfavourable environment and interacts with Tropical Low 30U.
• Saturday, March 7: System expected to remain a tropical low as it moves further south.